Amount of Heavy Rainfall to Increase
With the summer being mostly rainy, at least for the Northeast, with many warnings of rain, thunderstorms, and flash floods a study study has found that the rainy years be the noirm in the future. A study conducted at the University of Miami and the University of Reading, provides evidence confirming the link between a warmer climate and more powerful rainstorms. The team studied 20 years of satellite observations and examined the relationship between tropical rainfall and changes in surface temperatures, as well as amospheric moisture. They found a link between rainfall and temperature. Based on computer models, we are looking at an increase of heavy rainfall of 10% by 2050. However, this number may be underestimated because the actual observed increases in heavy rainfall are larger than what the computer simulations had predicted. Looks like we are only going to get wetter.
Read full articles about it at these locations: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/main.jhtml?xml=/earth/2008/08/07/sciweather107.xml http://www.usatoday.com/weather/climate/globalwarming/2008-08-07-heavy-precipitation_N.htm?csp=34
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What summer is right! It has been so rainy here, its awful to hear that it might get worse int he long run!
I guess we in the Northeast would ask: What summer? We hardly see the sun in winter and count on the summer to deliver balance. Not so this year and maybe not in the future.
I am hearing more and more from those who know that it will not be the big stuff of climate change that will bring us down but the little things and their accumulation.
Bob Ferris
Executive Director
Yestermorrow Design/Build School
Warren, Vermont